Tuesday, November 21, 2006
Sucker Bet Recap
Here are the statistics on the weekly sucker bet...
Week, record, team, pointspread, wager
Week 1
( 6-4) Seattle @ ( 2-8) Detroit +6 ( no play)
Week 2
( 6-4) Carolina @ (4-6) Minnesota +1 ( no play)
Week 3
( 8-2) Baltimore @ (3-7) Cleveland +6.5 ( 1 unit)
Week 4
( 6-4) Jacksonville @ (3-7) Washington +3 ( 2.5 units)
Week 5
(6-4) Kansas City @ (2-8) Arizona +3.5 ( 2.5 units)
Week 6
(6-4) Seattle @ (4-6) St. Louis +3.5 ( 1.5 units)
Week 7
(8-2) San Diego @ (6-4) Kansas City +6 ( 1.5 units)
Week 8
(9-1) Indy @ (7-3) Denver -3 ( 5 units LOSS)
Week 9
( 6-4) Dallas @ (3-7) Washington +3 ( 1.5 units)
Week 10
(6-4) New Orleans @ (4-6) Pittsburgh -5 ( 2 units)
Week 11
(9-1) Indy @ (6-4) Dallas "pick'em" ( 2 units)
Total
10-1 ( +9.5 units) with the only loss being Indy @ Denver in week 8 ( a 5 unit loss). I still believe it was the kind of game where who ever had the ball last won. Peyton's passing couldn't be stopped, and Indy couldn't stop the Denver run game. If the Broncos had the ball last this sucker bet might be undefeated. These bets were picking some of the least popular teams, against much stronger opponents. For example, week 1 was the superbowl runner up Seattle Seahawks against the terrible Detroit Lions... nobody gave the Lions a shot but they turned out to make it a game. In week 10 the 6-2 Saints were nearly a touchdown underdog against the 2-6 steelers. People thought the suprise saints with that offense would at least cover, but they in fact did lose by a touchdown. Another perfect example was week 11 the undefeated colts against Dallas. There was a lot of talk about Indy going undefeated but they lost in Dallas. Betting on football games isn't about picking the "better" team, but picking who will be "better" on that given day. On any given sunday, anybody can beat anybody and that's why they play the game!
Questions and comments always welcome at footballchrisl@gmail.com
Week, record, team, pointspread, wager
Week 1
( 6-4) Seattle @ ( 2-8) Detroit +6 ( no play)
Week 2
( 6-4) Carolina @ (4-6) Minnesota +1 ( no play)
Week 3
( 8-2) Baltimore @ (3-7) Cleveland +6.5 ( 1 unit)
Week 4
( 6-4) Jacksonville @ (3-7) Washington +3 ( 2.5 units)
Week 5
(6-4) Kansas City @ (2-8) Arizona +3.5 ( 2.5 units)
Week 6
(6-4) Seattle @ (4-6) St. Louis +3.5 ( 1.5 units)
Week 7
(8-2) San Diego @ (6-4) Kansas City +6 ( 1.5 units)
Week 8
(9-1) Indy @ (7-3) Denver -3 ( 5 units LOSS)
Week 9
( 6-4) Dallas @ (3-7) Washington +3 ( 1.5 units)
Week 10
(6-4) New Orleans @ (4-6) Pittsburgh -5 ( 2 units)
Week 11
(9-1) Indy @ (6-4) Dallas "pick'em" ( 2 units)
Total
10-1 ( +9.5 units) with the only loss being Indy @ Denver in week 8 ( a 5 unit loss). I still believe it was the kind of game where who ever had the ball last won. Peyton's passing couldn't be stopped, and Indy couldn't stop the Denver run game. If the Broncos had the ball last this sucker bet might be undefeated. These bets were picking some of the least popular teams, against much stronger opponents. For example, week 1 was the superbowl runner up Seattle Seahawks against the terrible Detroit Lions... nobody gave the Lions a shot but they turned out to make it a game. In week 10 the 6-2 Saints were nearly a touchdown underdog against the 2-6 steelers. People thought the suprise saints with that offense would at least cover, but they in fact did lose by a touchdown. Another perfect example was week 11 the undefeated colts against Dallas. There was a lot of talk about Indy going undefeated but they lost in Dallas. Betting on football games isn't about picking the "better" team, but picking who will be "better" on that given day. On any given sunday, anybody can beat anybody and that's why they play the game!
Questions and comments always welcome at footballchrisl@gmail.com
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