Saturday, November 17, 2007

Week 11

Week 1 3-3-1 ATS, 0-0 ML, -4.75 units
Week 2 3-4-1 ATS, 0-1 ML, -6 units
Week 3 0-0-1 ATS, 1-0 ML, +3 units
Week 4 3-2-0 ATS, 0-0 ML +7 units
Week 5 2-0-1 ATS, 0-0 ML +2 units
Week 6 4-0-2 ATS, 0-0 ML + 7 units
Week 7 1-2-0 ATS. 0-0 ML -1 unit
Week 8 3-0-0 ATS, 0-0 ML + 9 units
Week 9 3-3-0 ATS, 0-0 ML +2 units
Week 10 5-2-0 ATS, 0-1 ML +4 units
Season = +22.25 units

My week 10 card is updated except that pending teaser won. It was for 3 units bit it won 2 units and change but I just counted it as a 2 unit win to help negate some of that juice. The only other comment I wanted to make was about how ridiculous the NBC broadcast in the dark was to raise energy awareness for global warming. Maybe next time they should tell Bob Costas and Keith Oberman to just broadcast the entire show in the pitch black.

Week 11 Card
- Giants -2.5 @ Detroit ( 3 units)
-Chicago @ Seattle -5.5 ( 2 units)
- SD @ Jags -3 ( 1 units)
- Miami @ Philly -9.5 ( 1 unit)
Tease: Philly -2.5, Pitt -2.5 ( 2 units)

The Giants defense leads the NFL is sacks, and Detroit leads the league in sacks given up. That is a good formula for turnovers. Detroit is an overrated team and the Giants have been crapped on by the NY media for their loss to Dallas ( people are talking about pulling Eli). The Lions said they are committed to running the ball more, but then there is the saying of a Leopard and his stripes. Detroit also has a big game against Green Bay on Turkey day that could be a factor. I see the Giants as the better team picking up the win.

Seattle -
Grossman takes a lot or risk, and that Seattle defense is underrated at home. I am glad this number is under 6, and I think Seattle wins this game.

Jags -
I still think with Garrard ( and a possible passing game) coming back, that the Jags are an underrated team. SD is coming off an emotional win, they haven't played that well on the road, and they are a West coast team traveling east for a 1PM kickoff. I am also not a big Phillip Rivers fan, and he will be matched up against a legit defense.

Philly - I think Philly is an underrated team that lost some close games. I see a team like Philly that could be 2-3 wins better than their record, and then I see a team like Detroit that could easily be 2-3 wins worse than their record. The Eagles should easily beat the weak Dolphins and especially with their rookie QB getting broken in. I like the Eagles to win by double digits, and I think they are a safe teaser at -2.5.

Steelers - The Steelers haven't been the best road team in the NFL ( which is why I am not taking them ATS), but they are a good match up for the Jets. Slick Willie and Davenport should shred that porous Jets run D, and the Steelers pass defense should give young Kellen Clemens fits. It might not be pretty, but the Steelers should at LEAST win by a field goal for a safer teaser.

Sorry for the short write ups ( I really do my home work though), and good luck making that money.

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